Forecasts, scenarios, risk, economics
Advanced analytics & predictive AI
Look ahead with numbers you can defend. We forecast supply, demand and prices, run scenarios and war games, quantify risk, assess countries and investments, and help decide where R&D money goes, using machine-learning models that are tested on data they have never seen and always state their confidence.
How long it usually takes
6 – 12 weeks
Stated as a range. The two-week assessment narrows it.
Tools we work in
- Python
- scikit-learn
- XGBoost
- Prophet
- MLflow
- Databricks
Who it’s for
You’ll recognise the situation
- Commercial teams who want a forward view of prices, volumes or demand that is better than last year plus a percentage.
- Businesses that learn about a lost customer or a bad debt only after it has happened.
- Operations and risk teams who want early warning, not a post-mortem.
How Azico can help
What this service covers
Predictive & machine-learning models
Models that learn from your history to forecast outcomes and flag behaviour changes, tested on data they have never seen before anyone relies on them.
Read more →02Supply, demand & price forecasts
Forward views of supply, demand and prices for the commodities and products you trade or make, with ranges and the drivers behind them stated openly.
Read more →03Scenario planning & war gaming
Structured what-if analysis and simulated competitor and market responses, so the strategy is tested against futures that could actually happen.
Read more →04Risk assessment
Market, credit, operational and project risks quantified in one framework, with the few that matter most separated from the many that do not.
Read more →05Upstream country assessment
A scored comparison of countries for upstream investment, covering resource potential, fiscal terms, political and above-ground risk and infrastructure.
Read more →06Investment, cost & economic analysis
Project economics, cost models and return calculations, with the sensitivities and break-evens that decide whether an investment is worth making.
Read more →07Innovation & R&D
Analytics that help decide which research to fund and which to stop, by estimating each programme’s market potential, cost and chance of success.
Read more →The line, stage by stage
Actionable forecasts, scenario analysis and risk assessments, backed by transparent ranges.
Azico · Advanced analytics & predictive AI
Frame
The business question is restated as something measurable, with the decision it feeds and the cost of being wrong.Features
Train
Backtest
Deploy
Monitor
↺ Retrain loop → back to Train
Our commitment
“No model goes live until it has beaten your current method on months it has never seen, and you have seen the results.”
What changes for you
- Plans start from a forecast with a stated range, not a single guessed number.
- At-risk customers, counterparties and assets are flagged weeks earlier.
- Everyone can see how accurate each model has been.
- Models are retrained when the world changes, not when someone remembers.
What you get
- +A tested model with its backtest report
- +Scheduled scoring into your tools
- +Model documentation and monitoring
- +A plain-English guide to reading the results
What we need from you
- Two or more years of relevant history
- The method or spreadsheet you use today
- A business owner who will act on the output
- A short weekly review during the build
Industries where this is used
Solutions
Solutions built with advanced analytics & predictive ai
Insights
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Read now →Talk to us about advanced analytics & predictive ai.
Azico Analytics is a Bangalore-based team of experienced data professionals. Share how your data is managed today, how your reports are produced and the challenges you face. We will assess your requirements objectively and set out where we can add value, with a practical approach tailored to your business.